Comment by Elgin on original post [link]
etoh31 October 2012 14:02
Hi asingaporeanson,
Elgin here. I wrote the piece in ST that you commented on above.
Two points I wanted to highlight, hopefully adding to the debate here.
1) The piece points out that quite clearly that new PRs from Singapore fell even as new PRs from Malaysia, China and India rose. So if your explanation is that Australian immigration policy has been tightened, you also have to explain why the tighter policy is showing up in the Singapore numbers, but not the Malaysia, China and India numbers.
2) The piece also points out that it is not just actual PRs awarded that fell - applications for PRs from Singapore also fell. I can provide some extra numbers here, that were sent to me by the Australian immigration department. In the last 10 years, applications from Singapore fell by about 30%, even though in that same period, applications from China and India tripled and applications from Malaysia rose by about 50%.
Elgin.
******
Dear Elgin,
We have to understand that applying for an Australian PR visa is not applying for the National Day Parade tickets online. It is not a try for fun or take a punt process. An application costs easily from $3.5k - $8k these days. There is no refund for a rejected application. Thus assuming humans are rational, the key is to look at the correlation between the number of qualified Singaporeans to Australia's tightening policies.
1) The majority of Singaporeans who qualify for Australia PR visa have been PMETs. This has never changed through the years. In fact, the percentage of Singaporean PMETs to skilled professionals (we call them 'blue collar workers' in Singapore) is steadily increasing, because the number of blues are quickly decreasing.
Over the years, as part of the tightening of immigration criteria, Australia removed many PMETs vocations from the SOL list. For example, Aborist used to be on the list but it is no longer today. The number of occupations removed affect Singaporeans adversely, particularly in the engineering field, among the others.
Singapore does not have a diversified education culture as compared to Malaysia, China and India. It is rare to find an Actuary, Land economist, Landscape Architect (that's not a horticulturist), Cartographer and Spartial scientist to name some occupations on the SOL. Whereas you can find plenty of such professionals in Malaysia and especially China and India. You can even find a rocket scientist in China. Let's go into the skilled professionals part. I believe you can see my point now. I've personally known ex-colleagues who obtained their PRs as welders. You may want to look at Korea's figures as well. I'm sure you'll find an increase in Australia PR applications, granted or otherwise.
So does Singapore has her fair share of boilermakers, car mechanics, carpenters and plumbers to name some on the SOL, to apply for the Australian PR? Not a chance. Do Malaysia, China and India have plenty of skilled professionals? I'll leave you to answer that.
That explains 1)
2) The world has seen the growth of China and India for the last 10 years. Gigantic growth is probably an understatement. Can I pose a simple question? Would you accept the fact that through the last decade, Malaysia and particularly China and India has produced an unprecedented of highly educated and qualified people? I'm sure you can, as we can see the spill over effects reach the shores of sunny Singapore.
Is it common sense to conclude the exponential increase of qualified people from India and China translates to an increase in PR applications in Australia, and probably everywhere else in the world?
In contrast, have the number of qualified Singaporeans to Australia's selection criteria increased ? No. In the first place, the fact that we have a dwindling population (I'm referring to REAL Singaporeans here) which already makes it a reality that applications counts are not going to increase, let alone by 50% or 200%, assuming conditions in both countries remain stable which was the case for the past decade.
I'll repose my question to the Straits Times. How did the Straits Times come to conclusion that a falling application rate equates to Singapore being a better place to work and play? If you want to know more 'Jake Teos' of my side of story, I will gladly provide you a wide selection.
What is this term "the father" and not "my father"?